How do you define success?

I ask this question when I talk to employers about their compensation projects. I also ask this when I start working with a coaching client.

Sometimes the answer is a long pause, because they have to think about what the success metrics are. At other times it is an immediate list of ALL the things the compensation project or pay negotiation coaching is ideally going to deliver.

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Compensation Prediction #10 for 2023

HR and Business Leaders:

  • Your compensation philosophy will be published.

  • You will invest in a job architecture project if you haven’t already.

  • You will be talking about publishing your grades and pay ranges for all employees to see. And you will recognize the need to development training and resources to ensure that employees and their managers know how to talk about this information in a positive proactive way.

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Compensation Prediction #9 for 2023

Grades will continue to be used and the pay ranges associated with these grades will become broader than normal by about 10% - 15% in the short-term.

Increasing the Range Spread will allow employers to hide that they are underpaying some employees who are long tenured in comparison to new hires. (Yikes, pay compression!)

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Compensation Prediction #8 for 2023

Younger employees will continue to share their lives on social media. That will include how much they are paid.

You can find creators on TikTok asking people what they do for a living. They follow that question up with, “How much to you make?” And people are sharing the details. “I’m a Marketing Manager and I make $115,000.”

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Compensation Prediction #6 for 2023

Employers will prioritize doing pay compression analysis at least once a year. There will be two areas of focus.

(1) The pay differential between the highest paid direct report and their manager will be 10% - 15% for most scenarios. And employers will establish starting pay rates that are higher than the minimum of the range for some manager jobs.

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Compensation Prediction #3 for 2023

Human resources professionals and business leaders will spend more time managing the cost of labor.

Labor costs can account for as much as 70% of total business expenses depending on the industry. This includes employee wages, benefits, payroll, and other related taxes. Yet, HR professionals only spend 15% of their time managing the cost of labor. (Source: Paycor survey)

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Compensation Prediction #2 for 2023

Wages in the U.S. rose by 5.4% in 2021. The annual rate of wage growth over the last three months was 5.1%. This increase in wages trend will continue in 2023, but it will soften.

While layoffs in the tech industry are getting a lot of attention right now, the labor market is still tight, and employers will continue to feel pressure to increase wages to attract the right talent. They will balance that with the uncertainty related to a potential recession, the war in Ukraine, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes to impact inflation.

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Compensation Prediction #1 for 2023

Pay equity and transparency related legislation will continue to be passed that requires employers to share the “salary or hourly wage range that the employer reasonably expects to pay for the position.” (Source: quoted language from California’s broad pay transparency law)

This will be a continued emphasis in the U.S. and globally to reduce and eventually eliminate pay discrimination.

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Is self-care laziness?

When I was a kid, sitting and doing nothing was considered lazy. I grew up on a farm and there were always weeds to pull in the garden, an animal that needed to be fed, or equipment that needed to be fixed. Shit needed to be shoveled. (Seriously, the amount of shit I have shoveled…) And, of course, in the house there was a floor to clean, a load of laundry to do, and dishes to wash.

That focus on being productive has been my default for so long.

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Are you paying too much?

As an employer, if you pay too much to your employees or contractors you are negatively impacting the financial health of your company.

You’re spending more on talent than necessary to get the work done. And you are limiting your ability to add to your team.

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